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10670/1.0w0gtw

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Bumper crop or dearth: An economic methodology to identify the disruptive effects of climatic variables on French agriculture

Abstract

This study provides an economic method to identify the impact of changes in stochastic (climatic) and non-stochastic (farm managed) inputs on the production of a representative sample of French field crop farms between 1990 and 2015. This economic decompositionmethod specifically attributes output changes to the impact of soil characteristics, climatic variables, non-stochastic farm managed inputs, and technological adaptation change. We quantify these impacts by decomposing product changes over time via Luenberger-type indicators, through a second-order flexible parametric technology estimation. We identify large disruptive effects due to climatic variables, especially since the beginning of this century.

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