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Article

French

ID: <

10670/1.ff9agu

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Where these data come from
Fertility in Canada during ‘ibbaby-boom’/ib. Divergence and convergence of behaviour

Abstract

In Canada, the Baby Boom unfolded differently in the various provinces, particularly in the two most populous provinces of Quebec and Ontario. In the latter, the picture is the usual one with an increase in both fertility and nuptiality which, together, are responsible for a significant increase in total fertility rates. In Quebec, where the first demographic transition was not yet complete at the onset of the Baby Boom, the nuptiality increase was also very strong, but married couples actually gave birth to less children, not more, during the Baby Boom. In this paper, we use retrospective information from the 1981 census pertaining to the number of children ever born and the age at marriage to investigate the differences in cohort fertility rates for married women born between 1900 and 1940, and the corresponding parity ratios. We also use multinomial logistic regression models to assess the impact of religion, ethnic origin, education, and province of residence on the fertility outcomes of these women, while taking into account their age at marriage and union duration. Results show 1) diverging patterns for Catholic and Protestant women, yet the fertility levels in these two groups are remarkably similar for the last cohorts of women; 2) the positive impact on fertility of a younger age at marriage and longer union duration, although not sufficient to account for the rise in Protestant fertility; 3) the persistence of an educational gradient in fertility outcomes, even though the gap narrows down between categories. These results are generally in line with what more fine-grained analyses of the Baby Boom in some European countries have shown recently.

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